Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.036934 0.040158 0.043397 0.046891 0.050546 0.054251 0.058286
2025-12-07 0.032099 0.036908 0.041892 0.047421 0.053361 0.059530 0.066400
2025-12-14 0.028083 0.034005 0.040318 0.047498 0.055385 0.063738 0.073209
2025-12-21 0.025578 0.032428 0.039912 0.048602 0.058323 0.068783 0.080807
2025-12-28 0.022353 0.029738 0.038012 0.047820 0.058988 0.071185 0.085389
2026-01-04 0.020215 0.028095 0.037127 0.048026 0.060624 0.074553 0.090947
2026-01-11 0.018652 0.026990 0.036741 0.048698 0.062699 0.078342 0.096915
2026-01-18 0.017258 0.025970 0.036360 0.049290 0.064612 0.081892 0.102573
2026-01-25 0.014901 0.023583 0.034195 0.047645 0.063812 0.082251 0.104524
2026-02-01 0.013347 0.022106 0.033049 0.047138 0.064279 0.084014 0.108031
2026-02-08 0.012096 0.020936 0.032213 0.046945 0.065067 0.086107 0.111885
2026-02-15 0.011609 0.020758 0.032608 0.048251 0.067644 0.090290 0.118165
2026-02-22 0.011010 0.020409 0.032785 0.049307 0.069959 0.094222 0.124233
2026-03-01 0.010290 0.019843 0.032649 0.049947 0.071756 0.097541 0.129592
2026-03-08 0.009436 0.019024 0.032133 0.050071 0.072893 0.100058 0.134001
2026-03-15 0.009022 0.018825 0.032432 0.051230 0.075309 0.104111 0.140234
2026-03-22 0.007977 0.017593 0.031263 0.050433 0.075243 0.105138 0.142848
2026-03-29 0.007348 0.016959 0.030888 0.050650 0.076432 0.107676 0.147255
2026-04-05 0.006916 0.016608 0.030887 0.051346 0.078215 0.110929 0.152517
2026-04-12 0.006491 0.016236 0.030835 0.051958 0.079882 0.114034 0.157600
2026-04-19 0.005464 0.014758 0.029117 0.050261 0.078536 0.113396 0.158130
2026-04-26 0.004836 0.013913 0.028284 0.049738 0.078682 0.114582 0.160857
2026-05-03 0.004339 0.013257 0.027703 0.049538 0.079231 0.116256 0.164168